Yesterday morning it became very clear that the disturbance   that has been on the my radar for awhile took a turn to negative town.   Amazingly enough a tropical low that is now Tropical Storm Omar   stopped its westerly advance, stalled and is now forecast to turn   around and head northeast toward Puerto Rico. The last time this   happened was in 1999 when "left handed Lenny" did the same thing and   whacked the Virgin Islands. So after we gained some clarity, myself   and another Westsail32, Maktare and Wandering Dolphin with the Burton   Family minus Christopher headed out of Salinas harbor. Wandering   Dolphin had some excitement as they ran aground. This caused some   delay, but Rebecca was able to extract WD from the mud. Maktare and I   made the 6 mile trip to the Jobos without incident. As I have   mentioned before the mangrove system is  stellar protection from the   elements. Within the mangroves, Christa, Maktare and Wandering dolphin   are situated in a creek like feature that is about 60 feet wide with   about 8 foot of water under the keel. Each boat has lines,  anchors   and chains spidered in all directions that are tied or hooked to the   mangroves.  Sails have been stripped and stowed and the same goes for   canvas. It is a big job to get set up properly. I was a bit stressed   yesterday as it seems when all kinds of uncertainties revolve around   these system ie will it develop and which direction will it go, cause   all kinds of problems for me. Sometimes it is very difficult to know   what the right move is or maybe no move is the move. But as soon as we   decided to move I began to relax and once we got positioned in one of   the best spots I became positively subdued. I slept like a rock last   night as tonight should be the same.
So Tropical Storm Omar as of this evening is just 4 knots below a Cat   1 hurricane. Current track keeps shifting further south and east of my   position which is good. However it appear that Omar is going to be   much more powerful than initially forecast. Some models have it   reaching Cat 2 status as it reaches the Virgin Islands early Thursday   morning. This means the closet point of approach for me is about 78   miles if it stays on track with tropical storm force winds extending   out  to 90 miles, I'll be just on the cusp. Also the most vigorous   wind is on the east and south side. Puerto Rico should experience the   west side. Omar is supposed to pick up forward speed and move quickly   which will limit exposure but will create more intensity for the folks   on the NE quadrant. So us folks here in the mangroves are prepared for   whatever Omar has in store. I'll do my best to update from the sat   phone when I can.
 Capt Chris
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
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